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jeffl
Citizen
Username: Jeffl
Post Number: 331
Registered: 8-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 2, 2004 - 4:15 pm: |     |
Kerry leads Bush in new poll
Bush's approval numbers dip
Monday, February 2, 2004 Posted: 3:56 PM EST (2056 GMT)
ATLANTA, Georgia (CNN) -- Sen. John Kerry, the front-runner among Democrats vying for their party's presidential nomination, leads President Bush in a head-to-head matchup, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Monday.
And Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina and retired Gen. Wesley Clark, two other Democrats in the field, come within a few points of beating Bush, according to the hypothetical match-ups in the poll, which also found a decline in Bush's approval numbers.
The poll, based on interviews with 1,001 adult Americans, including 562 likely voters, was conducted in the days after the New Hampshire primary.
The poll underscores both Kerry's momentum after his wins in New Hampshire and Iowa, and increased favorability among Democrats in general as they dominate political news with their primaries and steady criticism of Bush.
The general election is slightly more than nine months away and Bush has yet to launch his campaign in earnest, meaning the poll numbers are all but certain to shift.
When the 562 likely voters were asked for their choice from a Bush v. Kerry race, 53 percent of those picked Kerry, and 46 percent favored Bush.
When that same group was asked to pick between Edwards and Bush, the numbers were 49 percent for Bush and 48 percent for Edwards. With a Bush/Clark face-off, Bush was favored by 50 percent of those surveyed and Clark, 47 percent.
Howard Dean, the onetime front-runner in the Democratic field, had a poorer showing against Bush, 45 percent to 52 percent for the incumbent.
The question of choice for president among likely voters had a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The margin or error was different for other questions, as some questions were posed to likely voters, others to just Democrats and others to all adults surveyed.
Kerry was the overwhelming choice of registered Democrats for the presidential nomination. Support for Kerry as the Democratic nominee stood at 49 percent, compared to 14 percent for Dean and 13 percent for Edwards. The other Democratic candidates were in the single digits.
The poll showed Bush's job approval rating at 49 percent among all the adults surveyed, the first time since he became president that his job approval has dipped below 50 percent. A month ago his rating was at 60 percent, as he enjoyed a spike in approval after the capture of Saddam Hussein.
A majority of those polled now say they disapprove of Bush's handing of the economy, foreign affairs, the situation in Iraq and health care. The poll also showed the nation evenly divided -- 49 percent to 49 percent -- on the question of whether it was worth going to war in Iraq, marking the first time approval of the war has dropped below 50 percent.
However, a majority of those polled -- 54 percent -- said they do not believe Bush deliberately misled the country on whether Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, while 43 percent said they believe there was deception.
Despite the apparent rising fortunes of Democrats, the poll showed Bush enjoyed advantages over his rivals in several areas.
For example Bush was seen as a stronger leader than Kerry -- 53 percent to 39 percent --and, despite Kerry's military service in Vietnam, more patriotic than the senator from Massachusetts, 49 percent to 34 percent.
And,on the question of Iraq, more Americans trusted Bush than Kerry, 50 percent to 44 percent.
--CNN Polling Director Keating Holland contributed to this report.
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Mayhewdrive
Citizen
Username: Mayhewdrive
Post Number: 767
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 2, 2004 - 4:43 pm: | |
I guess this means we can expect a few new "Orange Alerts" to "wag the dog".... |
JJC
Citizen
Username: Mercury
Post Number: 197
Registered: 12-2002
| | Posted on Monday, February 2, 2004 - 4:46 pm: | |
Cancelled flights... |
Dave
Citizen
Username: Dave
Post Number: 6287
Registered: 4-1998
| | Posted on Monday, February 2, 2004 - 5:02 pm: | |
The inventors of the pre-emptive war. |
tom
Citizen
Username: Tom
Post Number: 1898
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 2, 2004 - 5:37 pm: | |
...and empty promises at their NYC convention... |
bobk
Supporter
Username: Bobk
Post Number: 4512
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 2, 2004 - 5:58 pm: | |
Actually the poll doesn't factor in:
1. The Electoral College which causes votes in small states which count a lot more than votes in large states.
2. "Family" controlled voting in Florida.
3. The Supreme Courts new roll in elections.
If you factor the above in it is Bush with 52% of the votes that count.  |
ashear
Citizen
Username: Ashear
Post Number: 941
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 2, 2004 - 9:57 pm: | |
Similar numbers from Quinnipiac so its not just one poll.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x9998.xml |
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