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Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1116
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 2:25 pm: | 
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Its now 2:26pm on saturday. I will limit myself to 30 minutes to do Southerners saerch for him. The one he said would take "HOURS"
http://www.onpointradio.org/features/2006/midterm.asp |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1117
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 2:30 pm: |
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http://hiphoprepublican.com/2006/03/mid-term-elections-prediction.html
I'm gonna go out on a limb here and predict that the demos will atleast take one house.
The party has been raising record funds
The majority of their candidates are war veterans, mostly the first Iraq war and a sizeable portion are from the current war.
I believe if the party can stop bitching and moaning about bush and put together a contract with america similar to what the republicans did they will take back the house. |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1118
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 2:42 pm: |
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Does that add up to a change in party control in the U.S. Senate? It's very early, but so far the Sixth Year Itch is purely theoretical in Senate races. The Republicans could drop a couple of seats, or they could even add a couple of seats, but search as one might, it is tough to find the five net seats--six with Vice President Cheney's vote--that would need to go Democratic for the GOP to lose the Senate.
From-
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2005033101 |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1119
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 2:44 pm: |
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this might be a good one--
State Major Candidates Projected Result
Arizona - CD 8 OPEN: ??? (R) vs ??? (D) Weak GOP Hold
Colorado - CD 3 John Salazar (D)-inc vs Scott Tipton? (R) Weak DEM Hold
Colorado - CD 7 OPEN: ??? (R) vs ??? (D) Weak DEM Gain
Connecticut - CD 2 Rob Simmons (R)-inc vs Joe Courtney (D) Weak GOP Hold
Connecticut - CD 4 Christopher Shays (R)-inc vs ??? (D) Weak GOP Hold
Florida - CD 22 Clay Shaw? (R)-inc vs Ron Klein (D) Weak GOP Hold
Georgia - CD 8 Jim Marshall (D)-inc vs "Mac" Collins (R) Weak DEM Hold
Georgia - CD 12 John Barrow (D)-inc vs Max Burns (R) Weak GOP Gain
Illinois - CD 8 Melissa Bean (D)-inc vs ??? (R) Weak GOP Gain
Indiana - CD 8 John Hostettler (R)-inc vs Brad Ellsworth (D) Weak GOP Hold
Indiana - CD 9 Michael Sodrel (R)-inc vs Baron Hill (D) Weak GOP Hold
Iowa - CD 1 OPEN: ??? (R) vs ??? (D) Weak DEM Gain
Louisiana - CD 3 Charlie Melancon (D)-inc vs Craig Romero (R) Weak DEM Hold
Minnesota - CD 2 John Kline (R)-inc vs Coleen Rowley? (D) Weak GOP Hold
Minnesota - CD 6 OPEN: ??? (R) vs Elwyn Tinklenberg (D) Weak GOP Hold
New Mexico - CD 1 Heather Wilson (R)-inc vs Patricia Madrid (D) Weak DEM Gain
New York - CD 24 OPEN: ??? (R) vs ??? (D) Weak DEM Gain
New York - CD 29 Randy Kuhl (R)-inc vs ??? (D) Weak GOP Hold
N. Carolina - CD 11 Charles Taylor (R)-inc vs Heath Shuler? (D) Weak GOP Hold
Ohio - CD 6 OPEN: C. Blasdel? (R) vs C. Wilson? (D) Weak DEM Hold
Ohio - CD 18 Robert Ney (R)-inc vs Joe Sulzer? (D) Weak GOP Hold
Pennsylvania - CD 6 Jim Gerlach (R)-inc vs Lois Murphy? (D) Weak DEM Gain
Texas - CD 22 OPEN: ??? (R) vs Nick Lampson (D) Weak GOP Hold
Vermont - CD 1 OPEN: P. Welch (D) vs M. Rainville? (R) Strng DEM Gain
Washington - CD 8 Dan Reichert (R)-inc vs Darcy Burner? (D) Weak GOP Hold
Wisconsin - CD 8 OPEN: ??? (R) vs ??? (D) Weak GOP Hold
from-
http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2006.html
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Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1120
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 2:53 pm: |
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Looks my time is nearly up--
http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1121
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 2:58 pm: |
|
POLITICS
A rising tide of voter disgust with corruption will toss the Republicans out of the U.S. House of Representatives in November elections and a new blessed era of gridlocked government will begin.
from-
http://www.reason.com/links/links010206.shtml |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1122
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 3:00 pm: |
|
So if Democrats hold all seven of their own open seats, pick up Vermont and win the five open GOP seats in swing or Democratic districts – a scenario that’s far from guaranteed but one not entirely unreasonable if national trends go their way -- they’d net seven additional seats.
Picking up seven seats is a strong start, but it doesn’t get them the 16 seats they need. To get there, Democrats will have to knock off Republican incumbents, a more difficult assignment.
Based on current handicapping, Republicans now have about 11 incumbents who are notably vulnerable while Democrats have about eight. For Democrats to win the House, they’d need to save all of their incumbents while dislodging at least nine vulnerable Republicans. If Democrats can’t hold all their incumbents, and lose one or two, they’d then need to bring down virtually all the vulnerable Republican incumbents.
from-
http://www.campaignline.com/webedition/page.cfm?pageid=771&navid=39
5 minutes left |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1123
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 3:04 pm: |
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http://www.mydd.com/story/2006/4/6/16432/82485
Top Republican House Defenses and Targets
by Chris Bowers, Thu Apr 06, 2006 at 04:43:02 PM EST
I scored this from a source who has access to an NRCC blast fax about their new "Million Dollar Roundtable." It is, in short, a list of what the NRCC currently believes to be their top 32 races in 2006. As you can see, they only have eleven targets, but twenty-one defenses:
Defenses (District: Republican Representative)
AZ-O8: OPEN (KoIbe); CA-50: OPEN (Cunningham); CO-07: OPEN (Beauprez); CT-02: Rob Simmons; CT-04: Chris Shays; FL-22: Clay Shaw; IA-01: OPEN (Nussle); IN-02: Chris Chocola; IN-08: John Hostettler; IN-09: Mike Sodrel; IL-06: OPEN (Hyde); KY-04: Geoff Davis; MN-06: OPEN (Kennedy); NM-O1: Heather L. Wilson; NC-11: Charles Taylor; OH-18: Bob Ney; PA-O6: Jim Ger1ach; PA-08: Mike Fitzpatrick; WA-08: Dave Reichert; WI-O8: OPEN (Green); TX-22: Tom Delay
Here is the rub: they don't even list great opportunities for Democrats like PA-07, NY-24, FL-13 (Katherine Harris's vacant seat) and OH-15, probably because those seats have only clearly become vulnerable in the last two weeks (the fax did not show TX-22 to be open, for example). This list could easily expand, even though their own targeting already suggests that enough seats are vulnerable to lose the House. Overall, Republicans are defending at least ten major open seats: AZ-08, CA-50, CO-07, FL-13, IA-01, IL-06, MN-06, NY-24, TX-22 and WI-08. By way of comparison, as you can see from their targeting, they are only attacking two open seats, including ultra-Democratic VT-AL:
Targets (District: Democratic Representative)
CO-03: John Salazar; IA-03: Leonard Boswell; GA-O8: Jim Marshall; GA-12: John Barrow; IL-08: Melissa Bean; LA-03: Charlie Melancon; OH-O6: OPEN (Strickland); SC-05: John Spratt; TX-17: Chet Edwards; WA-02: Rick Larsen; VT-AL: OPEN (Sanders)
Two things jump out at me. First, I can't really see how this list can grow much, although Scott might be vulnerable in Georgia. Second, if VT-AL is on their list, they are really, really struggling to find new targets. Sure, it is an open seat, but with a Democratic partisan voting edge of around 11%.
A quick look at the NRCC target list reveals just how thin it actually is. First, note that even now, with a stranglehold on the south, five of the eleven Republican targets come from that region. Of course, even in the south, four of the five Democrats being targeted are vulnerable to mid-term redistricting (GA-08, GA-12, TX-17), or Katrina redistricting (LA-03). Outside of the south, two others are open seats, and two more are freshman Dems. Among all non-southern long-term Democratic incumbents, only Leonard Boswell in the IA-03 and Rick Larsen in WA-02 are being targeted by Republicans. Now tell me who is a regional party. Now tell me who is going to be playing defense in 2006.
The Republican target list is only one seat (11) longer than their major open seat defense list (10). While we are still not there yet, the makings of a real tidal wave are rising seemingly every day.
----------
29 minutes |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1124
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 3:10 pm: |
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SO judge me fellow MOLers, how did I do? |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1127
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 3:51 pm: |
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This one says DEMs are 2 seats from taking the House back.
http://electionpredictions.blogspot.com/2006/01/house-projections-map.html |
SLK Lives!
Citizen
Username: Scrotisloknows
Post Number: 1156
Registered: 10-2005
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 4:21 pm: |
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FOJ-
You did great, but don't you think you are a little obssessed over this? 
-SLK |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1128
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 4:41 pm: |
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Thanks SLK.
AM I obssessed? Well actually, I anticipate getting a job in one of the DEM campaigns, either the 5th, 7th or 11th NJ CDs. SO.... It maybe that this sort of research is indirectly job related.
I have been in contact with all 3 DEMs in those 3 CDs. I will be doing some fundraising for Paul Aronsohn in the 5th CD, next month. Paul has tripped badly, early in the campaign, and really needs to get his feet under him.
http://www.paularonsohn.com/ |
Tom Reingold
Supporter
Username: Noglider
Post Number: 13528
Registered: 1-2003
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 5:21 pm: |
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If success depends on fundraising, the Democrats are probably not going to do so well.
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Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1131
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 6:02 pm: |
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Ahhhh, Dean has set records for personal contributions. Noted by some (R) blogs. |
Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 886
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 8, 2006 - 9:13 pm: |
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Good job Foj. No one can't say you aren't passionate. You've earned some respect. If only I had you to help me with some projects at work!
The proof will be in the results come November. Let's have a good old fashioned, dirty and underhanded campaign with plenty of insults and half truths thrown at each party. May the best politician win! |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1132
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, April 9, 2006 - 1:08 am: |
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Thanks S- I appreciate that both SLK & Southerner complimented me.
ANd it was sort of anal of me to take Southerners post about taking hours to put together a counterpoint to extreme. But I meant it in good fun. ANd I am glad that you two took it in that way.
-- Next time you think some search on the net will take too long just send an email, I may give you some pointers. I didnt even use the advanced google. Gotta know where to go, google can be: a waste of time.
29 minutes, SUCKERS. |
anon
Supporter
Username: Anon
Post Number: 2654
Registered: 6-2002
| | Posted on Sunday, April 9, 2006 - 8:20 am: |
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Foj:
Good luck in getting a job with one of the campaigns. Let us know how it goes. |
Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 889
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, April 9, 2006 - 4:10 pm: |
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Foj,
I'm glad you don't have a job with any Dem because you would be an asset to them. That was top flight analysis. Now if you only curtailed your many meaningless threads then maybe many of us would take you serious. You are great at finding information but you need better skills at determining the meat from the garbage. Good luck in your campaign pursuit. And let's talk after the election and see if your analysis was meat or garbage. And I do use Google but not for political purposes. I really just come to MOL to read the NY Times thanks to Reingold. |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1134
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, April 9, 2006 - 10:38 pm: |
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Southerner-- not my analysis, my search though. And one mans meat is another mans garbage. And I worked for Kerry in Florida, I know my work was top flight. But I dont know if I would say that about some of his. We were 6k+ votes over target in Broward county. SO we kicked butt.
anon : Will do. Thanks. |
Tom Reingold
Supporter
Username: Noglider
Post Number: 13540
Registered: 1-2003
| | Posted on Monday, April 10, 2006 - 8:34 am: |
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More football cheering from Southerner. When the opposing team does well but the game is far from over, he taunts them with "nah nah nah nah nah, you can't catch me." Then again, it's really more second grade than football.
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Bob K
Supporter
Username: Bobk
Post Number: 11171
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, April 10, 2006 - 8:48 am: |
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The GOP will probably lose a few seats (less than five) in the House, but may actually pick up a couple of Senate seats in New Jersey and in Florida where the new improved Katherine Harris seems to be making in roads. |
Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 890
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Monday, April 10, 2006 - 6:27 pm: |
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Tom,
Show me how the opposing team is doing well. Why am I the only one you accuse of cheerleading? Do you not read others posts? Please, you libs have been cheerleading against this admin from the day your beloved lefty Gore had it handed to him by a liberal SC. If you want to call me a cheerleader then fine but I thought you were able to take the blinders off. And until the Dems can prove it on the field you are darn right I'll be here reminding all of you that harsh words, liberal news articles, and polls don't mean a hill of beans against the true measure of an election. Maybe you guys should infiltrate Diebold. |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1137
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Monday, April 10, 2006 - 10:31 pm: |
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BobK: Harris has lost most of her staff. They all quit, because she is nuts, certifiable. |
Tom Reingold
Supporter
Username: Noglider
Post Number: 13554
Registered: 1-2003
| | Posted on Tuesday, April 11, 2006 - 7:19 am: |
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Southerner, I've explained to you the difference between the style of your posts and that of others' posts. You once understood it momentarily but then forgot. I don't have the energy to explain again.
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Duncan
Supporter
Username: Duncanrogers
Post Number: 6178
Registered: 12-2001
| | Posted on Tuesday, April 11, 2006 - 8:08 am: |
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And as FOJ has so wonderfully demostrated, you can do a search on the difference Tom refers to in less than 30 minutes.
When the blasted MOL search function is working} |
Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 895
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Tuesday, April 11, 2006 - 2:57 pm: |
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Tom,
You are awfully full of yourself sometimes. You act as if you are the Superintendent of this board and you can set everyone straight on every issue. How noble of you. Maybe you and the other intellectually superior posters should form a private, paid for, message board so you can agree with each other all day and not have to hear the opposing view, and worse yet, different posting styles. You could even prepare a manual for posters so each person understands they should conform to your view for fear of being publicly berated. |
Rastro
Citizen
Username: Rastro
Post Number: 2844
Registered: 5-2004
| | Posted on Tuesday, April 11, 2006 - 3:04 pm: |
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It's not just an issue of posting style. It's personality. People just don't like you. It's ok. We don't all have to like each other. There are lots of people that don't like me. But you almost never post about anything that you stand for. You simple post that "your side" is winning and it doesn't matter what the "other side" says or does. You are like a rabid sports fan, loyal to the team no matter what. And you don't justify your love of the team, you simply razz fans of the other team because their team didn't win the last series.
As I've said before... To you, there is no right and wrong, only Right and Left. |
Alleygater
Citizen
Username: Alleygater
Post Number: 1675
Registered: 10-2004
| | Posted on Tuesday, April 11, 2006 - 3:20 pm: |
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If someone from the Right would justify their love of the team, I would be very happy. I've been desparately trying to understand their mindset for a while now. I really just don't get it. |
Tom Reingold
Supporter
Username: Noglider
Post Number: 13577
Registered: 1-2003
| | Posted on Tuesday, April 11, 2006 - 3:46 pm: |
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Southerner, either you've misread everything I've said in this thread or I've explained myself even more poorly than usual. Given that, I don't think I should bother trying for now.
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tom
Citizen
Username: Tom
Post Number: 4717
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Tuesday, April 11, 2006 - 6:03 pm: |
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from this week's editorial on the National Review Online
Quote:Katherine Harris will not be the next senator from Florida. She will almost certainly win the Republican nomination on September 5, but she will not defeat Democratic senator Bill Nelson two months later. For the good of her party, and for the good of her own reputation, she should withdraw from the race as soon as possible and allow another Republican to have a chance at victory.
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Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 897
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 10:50 am: |
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Rastro,
I just don't understand your thinking. First, I agree, we don't have to like each other. I don't like or dislike any posters. I don't know any of you. I may dislike or like certain positions but I am able to separate the positions from the person. Whether or not I am liked is irrevelant to me. I read this board because it is interesting and often quite comical.
Here is what I don't get yet I kind of understand. Many posters have diarrhea of the mouth (I'm probably included) and want to explain their position over and over again. I don't feel the need, like many, to explain my feelings on every position. If I say I like the Yankees, that is a simple statement that says a lot in few words. It means, I like Torre's style and insight, I like Giambi and Cano. Jeter and ARod are my boys, Matsui was a great pickup years back and signing Damon was smart and huge. It also means I root for the pitchers even if they could do better and may need to make some in season changes.
Now, do I have to say this every time someone says the Yankees suck, or can I simply say I like the Yankess and when my team plays their team that I am confident my Yankees will win.
Let me make this clear. I like Bush and this Administration. Now, do I need to use Foj-like threads to lay out in fine detail why I say this? I'm assuming you and most other posters are smart enough to know what that means. I assume by most of the comments to my posts that most of you understand what I mean otherwise why would I get such hysterical responses if posters didn't understand where I stand. I think everyone knows where I stand. If not then why criticize me?
I think your true displeasure with me is that you realize most of my statements are true and you can't really refute them. Therefore, you say I am empty of verbal value. That is fine. I am not trying to win any debates or make any friends. I just like to insert reality when you libs get a little to ahead of yourselves.
And we are in the middle of a great period for me. Once again, the libs (whether you qualify or not is up to you) are all revved up. They point to polls and anything they can get their hands or mouses on to make themselves feel better in their position. This is like early 2004 revisited. If you don't see this then you will probably be one of the many posters who are shocked come election day. The simple reality is Bush will not be impeached, the Repubs will still control the Senate, but the House is in question. I believe the Repubs will keep control but maybe not. However, reading this board leads someone from outside the MOL world to believe a revolution is at hand when in reality it is just another cycle of politics.
And if that isn't clear, here's an easier way to get to point B from point A. I like the Republicans because I disagree with 98% of all Democratic political positions. Since we have a 2 party system it makes it quite easy to figure out whom to vote for. |
Rastro
Citizen
Username: Rastro
Post Number: 2856
Registered: 5-2004
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 11:02 am: |
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First, I am not a "lib." Your constant use of the phrase is ridiculous. Anyone that disagrees with your position (your one statement in that post notwithstanding), is classified as a "lib." I simply do not like this administration. Previous Republicans at all levels of government have received my vote. I think this administration is a disgrace.
Second, it is not the same to say "I like the Yankees" and to say "I like Torre's style and insight, I like Giambi and Cano. Jeter and ARod are my boys, Matsui was a great pickup years back and signing Damon was smart and huge." One shows a reasoned thought process, the other is a simple-minded, thoughtless, juvenile statement.
My displeasure with you has nothing to do with the veracity of your statements. I think we all know that Bush won the last election. Saying that over and over again is similarly puerile. It shows no critical thought process, no re-evaluation of decisions (whether the end result is the same or not), no ability to actually discuss or analyze the issues. You simply state "We won, you lost, get over it." Whereas other people are pointing out various real or perceived misdeeds by conservatives. You do not discuss, debate, or add anything to any of the discussions.
Which is why most of us agree with Tom's characterization of you as a cheerleader. A nice distraction, but not really someone you look to for critical analysis of the game. |
Alleygater
Citizen
Username: Alleygater
Post Number: 1693
Registered: 10-2004
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 11:21 am: |
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Southerner: 98%, wow that is alot. That would imply to me that you are Anti-Abortion, Anti-Gay. You would have to be both or you couldn't be 98%. Where did you come up with that number anyway?
Quote:I simply do not like this administration. Previous Republicans at all levels of government have received my vote. I think this administration is a disgrace.
Rastro, my esteem for you just shot through the roof. I didn't think I would ever look up to a Republican or someone who was conservative, but I now must re-evaluate my position. I thoroughly respect and appreciate your view point. And you guys said kept saying I couldn't change my opinion. |
Rastro
Citizen
Username: Rastro
Post Number: 2859
Registered: 5-2004
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 11:28 am: |
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Alley, just to be clear, Democrats have received my votes as well. I don't consider myself conservative or liberal, and I am not a Democrat, nor am I Republican. I find the candidate that most matches my beliefs (and who I think has a chance of actually putting them in place) in each election.
I am disgusted by people who vote party lines for no reason other than it is the party line. |
Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 900
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 11:35 am: |
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Rastro,
I hear you. I guess we just disagree. When I ask a 4 year old if he wants chocolate or vanilla ice cream for dessert, I really don't need a 10 minute conversation on why he/she wants chocolate (although I may get it anyway).
And you made my point on my use of the term lib. You bring a big smile to my face. There is no "lib" I am referring to. It is a meaningless term, yet so many posters go crazy over this meaningless term. You just gave it three sentences worth of time when that term doesn't even apply to you. Heck, I'm a lib on many issues and a conservative on many. If someone calls me a lib I sure don't run, screaming like so many posters do. I am proud of my positions and don't mind being called names especially if the name fits. I am an ultra-lib on certain issues and a neo-con on certain issues. And there are many issues I have no interest in either way.
A perfect example is calling me a cheerleader. I have no problem with this. I am absolutely a cheerleader for those positions I agree with. Aren't all of us if we truly believe in them? I am a pro-choice cheerleader, I am a death penalty cheerleader, etc, etc. I have no problem with this.
I have tried to discuss rationally with many posters over the years. For instance, most recently, I have tried to discuss my opinion that the Republicans will maintain Congress. I am not saying this from a partisan view but from a view of looking at the races and recent history. I realize I may be wrong and maybe the Dems will take it back. However, when I discuss this from a dispassionate viewpoint, I get the usual polling numbers and a bunch of emotional statements about Bush and Republicans from the usual posters. When I try to point out that in recent elections the polls have been slightly wrong, to say the least, I get branded as a cheerleader. Call me a cheerleader then. I can wait for the results.
And your last sentence I totally agree with "A nice distraction, but not really someone you look to for critical analysis of the game.". That is my position completely. I don't look to any posters on this board for critical analysis and I don't want anyone to take my posts as nothing more than my opinion. Now, if my opinion is proven right then I will remind everyone. So far my opinions have been dead on.
I hope that if the Repubs do hold onto Congress that you and many others posters give me a positive shout out for calling it better than the vast majority of Democratic posters. I still enjoy reading the Democrats rantings, but so far Cheney hasn't resigned or been indicted, Bush hasn't been impeached, 2/3's of Congress haven't resigned, Fitz indicted a whopping 1 person in this bigger than Watergate investigation, Rove is still running the show, Kerry did not beat Bush, Bush has not instituted the draft, Bush has not invaded Iran or Syria, Bush is not stealing oil from Iraq, etc, etc. And these are just a few of the totally wrong predictions that have been made on this board. Why don't you help me call these posters out when they make outrageous claims? Maybe we could clean out some of the garbage that sticks to this board. |
dave23
Citizen
Username: Dave23
Post Number: 1646
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 11:45 am: |
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Southerner,
Given the current numbers and the advantages of incumbency, it is most likely that the Reps will hold both houses. (It doesn't take much insight to see this.) But which party do you think will gain seats in November? |
Tom Reingold
Supporter
Username: Noglider
Post Number: 13603
Registered: 1-2003
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 1:55 pm: |
|
Southerner wrote: I hear you. I guess we just disagree. When I ask a 4 year old if he wants chocolate or vanilla ice cream for dessert, I really don't need a 10 minute conversation on why he/she wants chocolate (although I may get it anyway).
So are you saying you have nothing more to add henceforth, now that we understand which administration and policies you support?
|
Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 902
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 3:40 pm: |
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Reingold,
Pretty much. If you notice, I've started very few threads since joining MOL. I generally only chime in when I see outlandish statements. If you Democrats were willing to police your own on this board then you probably wouldn't hear from me at all. However, when someone says 2/3's of Congress will resign and fellow Dems don't say something like "Are you crazy", then I will. When Foj and other Dems talk about how the Dems are going to be swept into power and Bush/Cheney/Rove will all be dragged from the White House in handcuffs, and no Dems say "Won't happen", then I will. Your point is well taken though. I am not here to save the world. I simply enjoy reading how others intend to save the world, however, I've noticed for some reason it all centers around Bush. One exception please Tom - when Dems discuss Bush's intelligence and animal like characteristics, I reserve the right to point out how this most incompentent leader in the history of the world beat the leading Democrat during back to back elections. And please don't mention Gore, because it is an impulse for me to reply how his own home state cost him the Presidency. I apologize for that but I can't control that response.
Dave23,
I think the Dems will gain seats in November. I initially (6 months ago or so) thought the Repubs would continue the trend of gaining seats, especially since by all accounts, none of us were prepared for the Repubs to do so well in 2004. I was shocked at how poorly the Dems faired on the Congressional level. However, as a political goober like most of us, I see that the Repubs are just pissing away months at a time. We had some momentum after the holidays but we can't keep up the steam. If the status quo remains, as it does most of the time, then I do expect the Dems to pick up seats. They might even pick up enough in the House to overtake control, but I think the incumbency vote will hold and they will fall short. I hope I am wrong and the Republicans shock everyone again, but unless they start making the case now I think it will be hard for them to combat the low approval numbers. But then again, they did it in 2004 so you never know (and most of the pressing issues of today were in play during that election cycle and the wiretap issue has fizzled after I told the Dems this would be a golden opportunity for them. My bad guys). |
John Caffrey
Citizen
Username: Jerseyjack
Post Number: 175
Registered: 11-2005
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 12, 2006 - 5:24 pm: |
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I don't think Bush and Cheney will be dragged from the White House in cuffs and chains. Nor do I expect a full sweep for the Dems. But yesterday's special election in California certainly must have the crooks and liars sweating. |
dave23
Citizen
Username: Dave23
Post Number: 1652
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Thursday, April 13, 2006 - 9:38 am: |
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John, I wouldn't put too much weight into that election. The Dems were organized behind one candidate while the Reps that actually went out to vote were split among many. It's still a tough seat for a D to win once the runoff comes along. |
John Caffrey
Citizen
Username: Jerseyjack
Post Number: 177
Registered: 11-2005
| | Posted on Thursday, April 13, 2006 - 11:59 am: |
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It will be difficult for her to win in the follow-up election. However, pundit analysis seems to be giving her a 50% chance. It is disappointing that the party will probably not support her in future.
I donated last month and will do so in May. |
Southerner
Citizen
Username: Southerner
Post Number: 906
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Thursday, April 13, 2006 - 3:31 pm: |
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Alley,
I looked at exactly 2,356 positions of the Democratic Party. Of those, I agree with 48 of them and disagree with 2, 308. That leaves me with a 98% disagreement rating with the Democratic party. I won't bore you with my personal in-depth analysis, because 1)it is very personal, and 2)no one else should care. I hope that answers your question. |
Tom Reingold
Supporter
Username: Noglider
Post Number: 13633
Registered: 1-2003
| | Posted on Friday, April 14, 2006 - 9:50 am: |
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Go team!
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Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1162
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 15, 2006 - 1:37 pm: |
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Democrats Take Lead Over Republicans Amid Bush Woes, Poll Shows
April 13 (Bloomberg) -- Democrats, buoyed by President George W. Bush's problems, have taken commanding leads over Republicans on most issues and in voter preferences for the November congressional elections, a Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll shows.
The poll found that registered voters favor Democrats by 49 percent to 35 percent as the party they would like to see win their congressional district this year. Democrats are preferred even on issues that often favor Republicans, such as taxes and the budget deficit, and lead by wide margins on traditional Democratic strengths like Social Security and health care.
>snip<
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087&sid=aQMbbEisDy5c&refer=top_world _news |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1163
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Saturday, April 15, 2006 - 1:46 pm: |
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WASHINGTON - California Democrat Francine Busby's first-place showing in Round 1 of Tuesday's special congressional race may give her party a jolt of optimism in its quest to retake the House in November.
But come the June 6 runoff, analysts say, reality will set in: The seat she seeks to occupy, the one vacated by the now-imprisoned Randy "Duke" Cunningham (R), represents a strong Republican district and the odds are steep against her in a two-person race against a Republican. The GOP has a 15-point registration advantage in the San Diego district. In at least the past 40 years, the Democrats have never defeated a Republican in a district with more than about a four-point GOP registration advantage, says Gary Jacobson, a political scientist at the University of California, San Diego.
Still, Democrats remain energized about November, when every House seat is up for election, and they seek to wipe out a 15-seat Republican margin of control and then some. Only about 35 of the 435 races are competitive, so there's little room for error. Privately, some GOP political handicappers, in a race-by-race assessment, predict that the Democrats will pull it off, as the national mood toward
President Bush and the Republican-ruled Congress sours further.
The two latest generic congressional polls - testing which party voters want in charge - favor the Democrats by large margins: 10 points in one, 16 in the other.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/csm/20060413/ts_csm/ahouse |
tom
Citizen
Username: Tom
Post Number: 4740
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Saturday, April 15, 2006 - 9:26 pm: |
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April 14, 2006--The Florida Senate seat held by Bill Nelson (D) was once seen as a pick-up opportunity for the GOP. Now, however, the imploding campaign of Katherine Harris has Nelson counting down the days until May 12. That's the deadline for some other candidate to file and challenge Harris in the Republican Primary.
If Harris ends up as the Republican nominee, Nelson will be one of the nation's safest incumbents. The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll of Florida voters shows Nelson leading Harris by 30 percentage points, 57% to 27%. A month ago, Nelson led by 21 points.
Numbers like these have even caused the state's top-ranked Republican, Governor Jeb Bush, to express concern over the state of the Harris campaign. Over the past month, every senior member of the Harris campaign resigned.
Just 45% of Republicans would now vote for Harris over Nelson. Thirty-three percent (33%) would vote for the Democrat. |
Foj
Citizen
Username: Foger
Post Number: 1170
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, April 16, 2006 - 12:09 am: |
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Might that be the same Harris who had all her senior staff quit? |
Innisowen
Citizen
Username: Innisowen
Post Number: 1956
Registered: 3-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, April 16, 2006 - 12:14 am: |
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Jeb Bush has said that Harris is damaging any chances of being elected, as she is making the whole campaign about herself and her problems (and her $10MM fortune that she is pledging for her campaign) instead of making it about Nelson's inadequacies. She's apparently causing republicans in FL to defect from her cause.
Couldn't happen to a nicer woman. |
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