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Bob K
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Username: Bobk

Post Number: 12282
Registered: 5-2001
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 1:45 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

JC, I think everyone now believes that Iran is supporting Hezbollah, that isn't in question and that, much like the Soviets in Korea, they have advisors in Lebanon. However, do you really think that anyone in the Iranian government would pass out the type of information you posted? There is a lot of detail that, if true, would be of great interest to Israel and the United States including a lot of nice hints on where to go bunker busting.

Joel, I posted earlier on my speculation on who was in the building and don't disagree with your hint. However, to justify targeting the building gets very close to genocide, which is somewhere most of us don't want to go.
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Lord Pabulum
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Username: Lord_pabulum

Post Number: 2
Registered: 7-2006


Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 2:38 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

After Israel conquers Lebonon I think they should annex the Sudetenland
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Phenixrising
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Username: Phenixrising

Post Number: 1819
Registered: 9-2004


Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 3:03 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

But the true killer of those civilians -- including the children -- is radical Islam. It is a known tactic of Islamofascists to use innocent civilians as cannon fodder for their cause. They surround themselves with the innocent, attack their prey, and then wait for the retaliation, hoping for civilian casualties that TV cameras will project into living rooms around the globe.

The Israelis were setup by these terrorists, and most of the members of the news media know they were setup. But instead of revealing the truth, they find it within their political and professional self-interest to play the terrorists' game.


Thought the Israel's Intelligence Agency was "smarter" than to fall prey to this.

Again, it comes down to WHO is spinning the story.

Its one thing to bomb Hezbollah targets and positions, however, the execution of this is still in question. How many so-called “accidents” which seem to be mounting in the deaths of countless innocent civilians? The filmed shown by the Israeli’s of a rocket launcher in Qana was taken 8 days ago. Enough time for Hezbollah to move on to another location. Yesterday, some observers noted there were NO rocket launchers in the area or near the building of those refugees.

How many accidents so far…

* In al-Ansariya, a Red Cross centre was hit by an air raid, injuring a medic.

* Four U.N. observers died Tuesday when an Israeli precision-guided bomb hit their post in southern Lebanon, said Lebanese security sources and a Western diplomat.

Israel has said the attack was an accident.

* In Qana“Israeli officials said the airstrike was an accident and that its forces intended to target a nearby Hezbollah position. Meantime many of the dead were children, some handicapped who could not escape but sought refuge in this building.

* And today, the Israeli military expressed regret that one of the strikes hit a Lebanese military vehicle outside Tyre, Lebanon.

The Israel Defense Forces said it was unclear how many people were killed. Earlier, a senior Lebanese Interior Ministry official said the airstrike killed an aide to a Lebanese general and wounded three soldiers. The general survived the attack, the official said.

The IDF said it thought the car was carrying a senior Hezbollah militant involved in directing rocket fire on Israel.

******************************************************

How many more “accidents’ can be justified?
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joel dranove
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Username: Jdranove

Post Number: 788
Registered: 1-2006
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 3:26 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Accidents happen in peacetime.
Accidents happen in war.
jd
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J. Crohn
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Username: Jcrohn

Post Number: 2625
Registered: 3-2003
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 3:30 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

"Terrorists and their supporters have lost the right to complain about civilian casualties, since all they have is one goal: this entire war is to target civilians. Every single one of the more than 2,500 rockets launched into Israel, is launched into populated towns filled with women and children. Just today, another explosive belt meant to kill civilians in Israel was detonated harmlessly by our forces in Nablus.

"So don't cry to me about civilian casualties. Cry to those using babies and wives and mothers; cry to those who store weapons in mosques, ambulances, hospitals and private homes. Cry to those launching deadly rockets from the backyards of kindergartens and schools. Cry to the heartless men who love death, and however many of their troops or civilians die, consider themselves victorious as long as they can keep on firing rockets at our women and children.

"Save your sympathy for the mothers and sisters and girlfriends of our young soldiers who would rather be sitting in study halls learning Torah, but have no choice but to risk their precious lives full of hope, goodness and endless potential, to wipe out the cancerous terrorist cells that threaten their people and all mankind. Make your choice, and save your tears.

"That terrorists have been unsuccessful in killing more of our women and children is due to our army, God and prayers, not to any lack of motivation or intention on their part. If you hide behind your baby to shoot at my baby, you are responsible for getting children killed. You and you alone."

-Naomi Ragen, US-born novelist and playwright living in Jerusalem
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joel dranove
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Username: Jdranove

Post Number: 789
Registered: 1-2006
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 3:32 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

The failure to report that men were killed struck me as a clue.
The "collapse" hours after the bomb fell was another clue.
The truth is out there.

http://confederateyankee.mu.nu/archives/188515.php

Katherine Shrader and Kathy Gannon of AP make the strike and its effect seem immediate:

A three-story house on the outskirts of Qana was leveled when a missile crashed into it at 1 a.m. Red Cross officials said 56 were killed and police said 34 children and 12 adult women were among the dead. It was worst single strike since Israel's campaign in Lebanon began on July 12 when Hezbollah militants crossed the border into Israel and abducted two soldiers.

But we know that the immediacy of the collapse given in this timeline to be a false construct. Many hours before this AP story was released, the IDF had already reported that the building did not collapse until 8 A.M.

Shrader and Gannon did not question the rather unique makeup of the families hardest hit in the attack (my bold):

Israel suspended air attacks on south Lebanon for 48 hours starting early Monday in the face of widespread outrage over an airstrike on a house that killed 56 Lebanese, almost all of them women and children.

[jump to page 2]

Red Cross officials said 56 were killed and police said 34 children and 12 adult women were among the dead.

[snip]

In Qana, workers pulled dirt-covered bodies of young boys and girls dressed in the shorts and T-shirts they had been sleeping in out of the mangled wreckage of the building. Bodies were carried in blankets.

Two extended families, the Shalhoubs and the Hashems, had gathered in the house for shelter from another night of Israeli bombardment in the border area when the strike brought the building down.

"I was so afraid. There was dirt and rocks and I couldn't see. Everything was black," said 13-year-old Noor Hashem, who survived, although her five siblings did not. She was pulled out of the ruins by her uncle, whose wife and five children also died.

34 children. 12 adult women. Not a single adult male officially listed among them. How strangely asexual these "civilian" families seem to be.

T
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kathleen
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Username: Symbolic

Post Number: 611
Registered: 3-2005
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 3:58 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

You know, I was going to respond with some facts in this thread (like it is pragmatists and military strategists who've been arguing that an immediate ceasefire would be in Israel's interests, not absolutists and political ideologues) but joel dranove has made it so disgusting -- really truly digusting, as he used to in the education threads with his abiding bigotry -- I just don't want to be here at all.
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joel dranove
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Username: Jdranove

Post Number: 790
Registered: 1-2006
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 4:16 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Really?
Hmmm.

I am shocked, shocked that there is intolerance on this thread.
Stating facts, and referring to others with facts at hand, and opinions of their own, is what freedom of speech is about.
For some of us.
Good-bye Kathy.

jd
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Gordon Agress
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Username: Odd

Post Number: 483
Registered: 8-2004
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 5:35 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Paul, you have been making statements like this:

"On a general level, it's pretty clear that the targets that have been bombed in Lebanon have had little impact on Hezbollah's military capability"

without any reference to fact or analysis of the military effects of the fighting, and without answering questions of how you can possibly reach such judgements. Also like this:

"the continued bombing and ground war, that will only weaken Israel's security "

again without any reference to military facts on the ground. And then you cite Friedman (your quote, again):

"Friedman is saying that Hezbollah can't be destroyed by bombing "

Again, Friedman says no such thing. "[C]an't be wiped out at a price that Israel, or America's Arab allies, can sustain -- if at all" means "maybe they CAN be destroyed, but shouldn't be in any case because of the political fallout".

Your determination to discount the possibility of any military achievement regardless of political implications leads you misstate Friedman's strategic comment into a narrower one.



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Paul Surovell
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Username: Paulsurovell

Post Number: 677
Registered: 2-2003
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 7:32 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Hi Gordon,

I'm happy to discuss the issues you raise in your 5:35 pm post, but first I'd like to resolve the personal matter which you raised earlier (regarding your question about the real reasons for my opinions) for which I asked you to provide some examples. In case you've forgotten, here's the key section of that earlier post:

Quote:

You are reading your preferred conclusions into any text you can get your hands on, but it isn't even in the texts _you_ provide. It should be obvious to anyone that your conclusions precede the facts and analysis available to you, and it seems quite likely they will survive contact with any facts or analysis that are brought to your attention.

It would be more useful if you discussed the real reasons you are so opposed to this. We might then learn something useful and might get the chance to address the real heart of your opinions. But your views on the military/strategic dimension of this are a dead end


(my bold and italics)

Gordon in your 5:35 pm reply you fail to provide any additional texts that I've posted as I requested so I could respond to what you alleged. Is this your way of retracting your original assertion? Or should I wait a little longer for you to provide the additional texts (plural) that you spoke of in your earlier post?



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Bob K
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Username: Bobk

Post Number: 12284
Registered: 5-2001
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 7:33 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Gordon, I think the fact that Hezbollah is still chucking rockets into Northern Israel and started using longer range weapons over the weekend is a pretty good indication that the bombing campaign has been less than an unqualified success. At this point Hezbollah hasn't used their longer range guided missles, the ones that can reach Tel Aviv, which may be an indication that the Israeli Air Force has found them or it may just be that Hezbollah is saving them for some sort of warped finale like a demented fireworks display.
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Gordon Agress
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Username: Odd

Post Number: 484
Registered: 8-2004
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 8:34 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Paul, the only text you've provided that I've seen you misread in this fashion was the Friedman bit you provide.

Bob, we don't really know a lot about what the IDF is trying to do. They may be more interested in ripping up fortifications and observation posts, killing personnel, preventing the massing of rockets into salvos, cutting off supply lines, etc.

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Montagnard
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Username: Montagnard

Post Number: 1979
Registered: 6-2003


Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 9:50 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Is Joel one of these 9/11 conspiracy theorists as well? After all, the towers didn't fall right away, so the deaths couldn't have been caused by the planes, right?

Besides, weren't the people inside the buildings actually at fault?
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J. Crohn
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Username: Jcrohn

Post Number: 2629
Registered: 3-2003
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 11:41 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

"At this point Hezbollah hasn't used their longer range guided missles, the ones that can reach Tel Aviv, which may be an indication that the Israeli Air Force has found them..."


According to Haaretz, the IDF has taken out two thirds of the long-range artillery, but fears resupply from Syria.

Interestingly, some recent barrages into northern Israel have only been mortars.
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J. Crohn
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Username: Jcrohn

Post Number: 2630
Registered: 3-2003
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 11:43 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

"...but first I'd like to resolve the personal matter which you raised earlier (regarding your question about the real reasons for my opinions)..."


Paul always takes it personally when people find his views inconsistent.
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Paul Surovell
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Username: Paulsurovell

Post Number: 679
Registered: 2-2003
Posted on Monday, July 31, 2006 - 11:47 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Gordon,

So you've retracted your original statement?

As far as your two quotes of me:


Quote:

On a general level, it's pretty clear that the targets that have been bombed in Lebanon have had little impact on Hezbollah's military capability


I think this statement has been borne out. Hezbollah has continued to launch its rockets, the highest IDF body count of Hezbollah fighters I've seen is about 100 to 200, and I'm not aware of the IDF taking more than a handful of Hezbollah prisoners. The only reports of IDF seizures of Hezbollah arms caches, have not added up to much.

Quote:

the continued bombing and ground war, that will only weaken Israel's security


You've truncated this in such a way that the context has been obscured. Please send the full quote and I'll comment.

I disagree with your interpretation of Friedman's statement. I think it's pretty clear he's saying that Israel can't destroy Hezbollah militarily. Your argument only holds on a theoretical level. But Friedman is saying that in the real world, Israel cannot destroy Hezbollah because the price would be too high. Whether the price is military or political or both doesn't matter. In any case, he's saying Israel cannot destroy Hezbollah militarily.

If that's not good enough for you, later Friedman says

Quote:

Whoever goes for a knockout blow will knock themselves out instead


If you accept that "a knockout blow" is a metaphor for destroying the other side, he is clearing saying that Israel cannot destroy Hezbollah and Hezbollah cannot destroy Israel.

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Bob K
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Username: Bobk

Post Number: 12285
Registered: 5-2001
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 4:47 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

See www.jpost.com. Israel is planning to, maybe has started, a major ground offensive with three brigades moving into South Lebanon with the apparent intention of driving Hezbollah all the way back to the Latani River. Should be interesting. I imagine they will make it to the Litani, but most of the Hezbollah fighters will fade into the community before they get there.
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Gordon Agress
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Username: Odd

Post Number: 485
Registered: 8-2004
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 8:30 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

No, Paul, I still think your conclusions of military success and possibilities are running well ahead of the information you'd need to arrive at them. Especially when you keep repeating them as you've done here -- I've read that Hezbollah has maybe a thousand properly trained men, so if the IDF has killed the right 100-200 they've done a lot.

I'm prepared to listen to Thomas Friedman talk about the balance between military gains and political costs, since he seems willing to admit that maybe some military gains are possible. You aren't, so I don't see what's gained by the repetition of your view that "this isn't worth the price", since you'll say that regardless of what we hear on the military front.

A discussion of why you rule out any military option would be more useful, since that would go to the real heart of your opinions.

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Gordon Agress
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Username: Odd

Post Number: 486
Registered: 8-2004
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 8:35 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Bob, Hezbollah would surely have the option of fading to the background, but at the cost of their various prepared positions, maybe their munitions, and hopefully some prestige. All that gear plays a role in their ability to hold out in fighting like we've seen in the past few weeks. Also, they've profited from the myth that they drove the IDF out, and a demonstration that the IDF can return whenever it likes might be a useful corrective.

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Bob K
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Username: Bobk

Post Number: 12289
Registered: 5-2001
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 8:42 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

I think Hezbollah will fight as long as they can short of redoing Custer's Last Stand. Then they will fadeaway into the night, which is a military tactic as old as warfare. What rockets they have will be shot off before they withdraw and I think they are pretty sure that they can get resupplied if not next month, next year.
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Gordon Agress
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Username: Odd

Post Number: 487
Registered: 8-2004
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 9:03 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

"they are pretty sure that they can get resupplied if not next month, next year."

Actually, that might be one strategic goal of this: deplete that inventory, then get the world to watch the trail from Damascus and Tehran. Done seriously, that could bring a lot of clarity to world perception of what those countries are about.



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Paul Surovell
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Username: Paulsurovell

Post Number: 681
Registered: 2-2003
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 9:04 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Wise advice from Republican Senator Chuck Hagel:

Hagel Floor Statement on the Current Situation in the Middle East, July 31, 2006

Quote:

Mr. President, The Middle East is a region in crisis. After three weeks of escalating and continuing violence, the potential for wider regional conflict becomes more real each day. The hatred in the Middle East is being driven deeper and deeper into the fabric of the region...which will make any lasting and sustained peace effort very difficult to achieve. How do we realistically believe that a continuation of the systematic destruction of an American friend, the country and people of Lebanon, is going to enhance America’s image and give us the trust and credibility to lead a lasting and sustained peace effort in the Middle East? The sickening slaughter on both sides must end now. President Bush must call for an immediate cease fire. This madness must stop.

The Middle East today is more combustible and complex than it has ever been. Uncertain popular support for regime legitimacy continues to weaken governments of the Middle East. Economic stagnation, persistent unemployment, deepening despair and wider unrest enhance the ability of terrorists to recruit and succeed. An Iran with nuclear weapons raises the specter of broader proliferation and a fundamental strategic realignment in the region, creating more regional instability.

America’s approach to the Middle East must be consistent and sustained, and must understand the history, interests and perspectives of our regional friends and allies.

The United States will remain committed to defending Israel. Our relationship with Israel is a special and historic one. But, it need not and cannot be at the expense of our Arab and Muslim relationships. That is an irresponsible and dangerous false choice. Achieving a lasting resolution to the Arab-Israeli conflict is as much in Israel’s interest as any other country in the world.

Unending war will continually drain Israel of its human capital, resources, and energy as it fights for its survival. The United States and Israel must understand that it is not in their long-term interests to allow themselves to become isolated in the Middle East and the world. Neither can allow themselves to drift into an “us against the world” global optic or zero-sum game. That would marginalize America’s global leadership, trust and influence...further isolate Israel...and prove to be disastrous for both countries as well as the region.

It is in Israel’s interest, as much as ours, that the United States be seen by all states in the Middle East as fair. This is the currency of trust.

The world has rightly condemned the despicable actions of Hezbollah and Hamas terrorists who attacked Israel and kidnapped Israeli soldiers. Israel has the undeniable right to defend itself against aggression. This is the right of all states.

Hezbollah is a threat to Israel, to Lebanon and to all who strive for lasting peace in the Middle East.

However, military action alone will not destroy Hezbollah or Hamas. Extended military action is tearing Lebanon apart, killing innocent civilians, destroying its economy and infrastructure, creating a humanitarian disaster, further weakening Lebanon’s fragile democratic government, strengthening popular Muslim and Arab support for Hezbollah, and deepening hatred of Israel across the Middle East. The pursuit of tactical military victories at the expense of the core strategic objective of Arab-Israeli peace is a hollow victory. The war against Hezbollah and Hamas will not be won on the battlefield.

To achieve a strategic shift in the conditions for Middle East peace, the United States must use the global condemnation of terrorist acts as the basis for substantive change. For a lasting and popularly supported resolution, only a strong Lebanese government and a strong Lebanese army, backed by the international community, can rid Lebanon of these corrosive militias and terrorist organizations.

President Bush and Secretary Rice must become and remain deeply engaged in the Middle East. Only U.S. leadership can build a consensus of purpose among our regional and international partners. To lead and sustain U.S. engagement, the President should appoint a statesman of global stature, experience and ability to serve as his personal envoy to the region who would report directly to President, and be empowered with the authority to speak and act for the President. Former Secretaries of State Baker and Powell fit this profile.

The President must publicly decry the slaughter and work toward an immediate cease fire. The UN Security Council should urgently adopt a new binding resolution that provides a comprehensive political, security and economic framework for Lebanon, Israel and region – a framework that begins with the immediate cessation of violence. I strongly support the deployment of a robust international force along the Israel-Lebanon border to facilitate a steady deployment of a strengthened Lebanese Army into southern Lebanon to eventually assume responsibility for security and the rule of law.

America must listen carefully to its friends and partners in the region. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and others – countries that understand the Middle East far better than we do – must commit to help resolve today’s crisis and be active partners in helping realize the already agreed-upon two-state solution.

The core of all challenges in the Middle East remains the underlying Arab-Israeli conflict. The failure to address this root cause will allow Hezbollah, Hamas and other terrorists to continue to sustain popular Muslim and Arab support – a dynamic that continues to undermine America’s standing in the region, and the governments of Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and others – whose support is critical for any Middle East resolution.

The United States should engage our Middle East and international partners to revive the Beirut Declaration, or some version of it, proposed by King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia and adopted unanimously by the Arab League in March 2002. In this historic initiative, the Arab world recognized Israel’s right to exist and sought to establish a path toward a two-state solution and broader Arab-Israeli peace. Even though Israel could not accept it as written, it represented a very significant “starting point” document initiated by Arab countries. Today, we need a new Beirut Declaration-type initiative. We squandered the last one.

The concept and intent of the 2002 Beirut Declaration is as relevant today as it was in 2002. An Arab-initiated Beirut-type declaration would re-invest regional Arab states with a stake in achieving progress toward Israeli-Palestinian peace. This type of initiative would offer a positive alternative vision for Arab populations to the ideology and goals of Islamic militants. The United States must explore this approach as part of its diplomatic engagement in the Middle East.

Lasting peace in the Middle East, and stability and security for Israel will come only from a regionally-oriented political settlement.

Former American Middle East Envoy Dennis Ross once observed that in the Middle East a process is necessary because process absorbs events...without a process, events become crises. He was right. Look at where we are today in the Middle East with no process. Crisis diplomacy is no substitute for sustained, day-to-day engagement.

America’s approach to Syria and Iran is inextricably tied to Middle East peace. Whether or not they were directly involved in the latest Hezbollah and Hamas aggression in Israel, both countries exert influence in the region in ways that undermine stability and security. As we work with our friends and allies to deny Syria and Iran any opportunity to further corrode the situation in Lebanon and the Palestinian territories, both Damascus and Tehran must hear from America directly.

As John McLaughlin, the former Deputy Director of Central Intelligence recently wrote in the Washington Post,

“Even superpowers have to talk to bad guys. The absence of a diplomatic relationship with Iran and the deterioration of the one with Syria -- two countries that bear enormous responsibility for the current crisis -- leave the United States with fewer options and levers than might otherwise have been the case. Distasteful as it might have been to have or to maintain open and normal relations with such states, the absence of such relations ensures that we will have more blind spots than we can afford and that we will have to deal through surrogates on issues of vital importance to the United States.

Ultimately, the United States will need to engage Iran and Syria with an agenda open to all areas of agreement and disagreement. For this dialogue to have any meaning or possible lasting relevance, it should encompass the full agenda of issues.

There is very little good news coming out of Iraq today. Increasingly vicious sectarian violence continues to propel Iraq toward civil war. The U.S. announcement last week to send additional U.S. troops and military police back into Baghdad reverses last month’s decision to have Iraqi forces take the lead in Baghdad...and represents a dramatic set back for the U.S and the Iraqi Government. The Iraqi Government has limited ability to enforce the rule of law in Iraq, especially in Baghdad. Green Zone politics appear to have little bearing or relation to the realities of the rest of Iraq.

The Iraqis will continue to face difficult choices over the future of their country. The day-to-day responsibilities of governing and security will soon have to be assumed by Iraqis. This is not about setting a timeline. This is about understanding the implications of the forces of reality. This reality is being determined by Iraqis – not Americans. America is bogged down in Iraq and this is limiting our diplomatic and military options. The longer America remains in Iraq in its current capacity, the deeper the damage to our force structure – particularly the U.S. Army. And it will continue to place more limitations on an already dangerously over-extended force structure that will further limit our options and public support.

The Middle East crisis represents a moment of great danger, but it is also an opportunity. Crisis focuses the minds of leaders and the attention of nations. The Middle East need not be a region forever captive to the fire of war and historical hatred. It can avoid this fate if the United States pursues sustained and engaged leadership worthy of our history, purpose, and power. America cannot fix every problem in the world – nor should it try. But we must get the big issues and important relationships right and concentrate on those. We know that without engaged and active American leadership the world is more dangerous. The United States must focus all of its leadership and resources on ending this madness in the Middle East— now!


http://hagel.senate.gov/index.cfm?FuseAction=PressReleases.Detail&PressRelease_i d=219463&Month=7&Year=2006

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joel dranove
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Username: Jdranove

Post Number: 793
Registered: 1-2006
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 9:06 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

The madness of press and media manipulation of the facts:

http://eureferendum.blogspot.com/2006/07/milking-it.html
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J. Crohn
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Username: Jcrohn

Post Number: 2631
Registered: 3-2003
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 9:42 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

"Israel is planning to, maybe has started, a major ground offensive with three brigades moving into South Lebanon with the apparent intention of driving Hezbollah all the way back to the Latani River."

Jeez BobK, the press reported a call-up of up to thirty thousand troops several days ago, and Israel has been talking about a push-back to the Litani river almost since this thing began.
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Eric Wertheim
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Username: Bub

Post Number: 236
Registered: 1-2005
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 9:47 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

It would have been better for everyone, including the Lebanese, had Israel gone to the full court press from the beginning. Stop the rockets as quickly as possible, declare victory, then negotiate about the future.
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Bob K
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Username: Bobk

Post Number: 12290
Registered: 5-2001
Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 10:01 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Jeez JC, last week the Israeli government was talking about relying on airpower and limiting their incursions to a couple of miles inside the border. I read that the call up of the reserves had been scaled back to only the staff officers, although I don't know if that is true or not. The three brigades moving into Lebanon are active duty and considered "elite units". A brigade is usually somewhere between 2,500 to 5,000 troops in most armies.

Eric I agree.
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J. Crohn
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 10:02 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Oh, I don't know Wertheim. You think maybe the US should have gone into Afghanistan without bombing it all to hell first?
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Paul Surovell
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 10:16 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Gordon,

I never ruled out any military option. Israel was attacked and had a right to respond militarily. But from the very beginning, I've said that the option of massive bombing of Lebanon would make Hezbollah and radical Islam stronger, which is what has happened.

The bombing of Lebanon has united most of the Lebanese population behind Hezbollah as "the resistance" against Israel, which means that further military action against Hezbollah -- from the air or on the ground -- will only further strengthen support for Hezbollah even if it suffers major battleground losses.

Hezbollah's influence in the Lebanese Government has already increased and with continued Israeli bombing and military action, it's entirely possible that the next Lebanese democratic elections could bring Hezbollah into power, as happened with Hamas.

An immediate cease-fire to be followed by an international effort to implement Resolution 1559 is the best option now for both Israel and Lebanon.

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J. Crohn
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 10:17 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

"Jeez JC, last week the Israeli government was talking about relying on airpower and limiting their incursions to a couple of miles inside the border."

Temporarily, perhaps, but Israel has said from the beginning that the Litani was its goal. So the reiteration of that goal should not surprise you now. (Unless you believe what you read in news sources determined to depict an Israeli failure in the making.)

"The three brigades moving into Lebanon are active duty and considered "elite units". A brigade is usually somewhere between 2,500 to 5,000 troops in most armies."

So that's a third to a half of the additional troops Israel can field. You would prefer they all be sent in at once?
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Bob K
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 10:38 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

JC, the JPost is depicting an Israeli failure in the makeing? Don't think so.

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1153292045787&pagename=JPost%2FJPArti cle%2FShowFull

Joel, I always thought that guy didn't look like a typical aid worker. Still the bodies are real.
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Eric Wertheim
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 2:05 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

JC:

The U.S. precision bombed the hell out of the Taliban's conventional front line positions and then had a full, army of Afghans sweep in and take over the country.
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Gordon Agress
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 2:17 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Recall that in its early days people wondered if the IDF would go on to Syria or Iran, and there were rumblings that an IDF move too deep in the Bekaa Valley would bring in the Syrians. I think they've managed tensions down from that point, which reduces the chances of accidental warfare with the Syrians and (hopefully) clarifies that any shooting by the Syrians is their own idea and not the IDF's.

They've also frightened (hopefully) most of the civilians north of the Litani, which should reduce civilian casualties (and has certainly created a lot of human misery).

In short, they've done a lot that has operated to narrow this thing to IDF vs Hezbollah, which would be exactly what Hezbollah does not want. Whether that was the plan is another thing entirely.



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joel dranove
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 4:33 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

More politics, from ynet:

Lebanon is planning to take Israel to the International Criminal Court for war crimes. I hope this happens. It will bring the Qana ruse to light. Maybe we'll even find out where the bodies of the other 29 alleged victims are.

"Lebanon: We will sue Israel in Hague," from Ynet News, with thanks to the Constantinopolitan Irredentist:

Lebanon is planning to file a lawsuit against Israel in the International Criminal Court. Tuesday, Lebanese Minister of Justice Charles Rizk made a written petition to the Lebanese Prime Minister, Fouad Siniora, asking him to bring up the issue in the next meeting of the Lebanese cabinet, so that the prime minister will be able to collect witnesses in preparation before filing of the complaint. The minister wrote to the prime minister: "The repeated Israeli attacks on Lebanon, on its infrastructure, its citizens, women and children, since July 12 are a grave breech of international law and international agreements. As such, they clearly constitute war crimes and crimes against humanity."

"In preparation for the pursuit of the Israeli enemy in the relevant international courts, and in a bid to punish these crimes and to bring them to justice, the Lebanese government must prepare a comprehensive case that will include and detail all the attacks and crimes committed. This is with the intent that Israel pay restitution on all the physical and moral damages that she caused Lebanon and her citizens," he wrote....

In addition, Minister Rizk expressed his regret that the "Qana massacre did not horrify the conscience and did not bring about a UN decision for a ceasefire.

Which means, "Hizballah is on the ropes. We were hoping to buy some time."

The Red Cross published that 28 corpses were evacuated from Qana, 19 of which were children. The report clashes with the Lebanese report that 57 people were killed.
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Montagnard
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Posted on Tuesday, August 1, 2006 - 10:51 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Still, at the end of the day, Israel cannot achieve peace simply by terrorizing its neighbors. For each innocent victim there will be survivors wanting to take revenge.
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Phenixrising
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Posted on Wednesday, August 2, 2006 - 9:29 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Still, at the end of the day, Israel cannot achieve peace simply by terrorizing its neighbors. For each innocent victim there will be survivors wanting to take revenge.

DITTO!

“The damage may already be done in Lebanon, where more than 600 people have been killed in the conflict, according to the country's health minister. A recent poll taken in Lebanon, where many are opposed to Hezbollah, showed 96 percent of Shiites supported the abduction of the two Israeli soldiers, an action that triggered Israel's reprisal attacks. More tellingly, 73 percent of Sunnis and 54 percent of Christians also approved of the abductions.”

By Ned Warwick
The Philadelphia Inquirer

Experts: Hezbollah Praised Among Arabs as Israel Cites Battle Successes
By Meredith Buel
Washington

"Israel has sharply increased its ground campaign against Hezbollah guerrillas in southern Lebanon, in an effort to push the militants back from the border before a cease-fire is declared. Israeli military leaders say Hezbollah has been severely weakened by the fighting, but some Middle East analysts say the group's popularity is increasing in the Arab world."

Tide of Arab Opinion Turns to Support for Hezbollah
By NEIL MacFARQUHAR
Published: July 28, 2006

Initially, Arab governments criticized Hezbollah for recklessly provoking a war. Now, opinion across the Arab world has changed.

********************************************
So much for achieving peace when the very same people who were opposed Hezbollah are now supporting them.
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Paul Surovell
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Posted on Wednesday, August 2, 2006 - 9:39 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Another example of how the IDF bombing campaign is turning Lebanese moderates into Hezbollah supporters and undermining Israeli security:

Quote:

BEIRUT, Aug 2 (Reuters) - An Israeli air strike killed three Lebanese soldiers in the south of the country on Wednesday, security sources said.

The raid hit a Lebanese army post in the village of Sarba, 14 km (9 miles), to the southeast of Sidon. At least 24 Lebanese army soldiers have been killed in Israeli attacks in more than three weeks of war between Hizbollah and Israel.




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notehead
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Posted on Wednesday, August 2, 2006 - 11:36 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

The U.N. is demanding an immediate IDF/Hezbollah cease-fire. Hezbollah must have taken several years to fortify southern Lebanon, and since everybody had a fair idea of what kind and quantity of armament they had, it was hardly a secret endeavor. Did the U.N. -- or anyone else -- ever make any effort to draw more attention to this or do anything about it? I know this is a bit of a "spilled milk" complaint, but the IDF would not be attempting to destroy so many Hezbollah assets if their accumulation had been prevented in the first place.

A bunch of crazies who want to kill you with thrown stones don't pose nearly as big a problem as a bunch of crazies who want to kill you and have huge stockpiles of missiles and guns. Aren't there some lessons we can learn here... and shouldn't we have learned them long before this?
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joel dranove
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Posted on Wednesday, August 2, 2006 - 11:47 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

They are not crazy, they are Islamists, who want to convert Lebanon into a sharia state, and exterminate the Jews.

As to how things are going in London, and Brooklyn, kindly read the following, readers:

'Potentially incendiary' at the Brooklyn Public Library

[Posted 9:18 AM by Roger Kimball]

This spring, in my capacity as publisher of Encounter Books, I had the honor to publish Melanie Phillips's book Londonistan, a brilliant, but also harrowing, look at the ways in which radical Islam has established itself in England. The book carries endorsements from such well respected experts on the subject as Natan Sharansky, Daniel Pipes, and Steve Emerson. It has been widely reviewed here and in England, to admiring praise from those (like me) who regard radical Islam as a terrible threat, and to sometime hysterical consternation from those who believe that Islam is a religion of peace or who at least cannot bear the spectacle of anyone actually defending Western civilization (that's capitalist, Christian civilization) against its enemies. Last week it was the Communists, this week it is the mullahs: the bottom line is that in the battle of Us against Them, We are always to blame.

For those in doubt about how deeply ingrained the latter sentiment is in the institutional life of our culture, I offer the following communication from Wayne Roylance, Adult Selection Coordinator at Brooklyn Public Library in New York. A reader had asked that the Library purchase Londonistan. He received this reply from Mr. Roylance:

Thank you for your question. Normally, the library doesn't add a nonfiction title to the collection (and especially one that is potentially incendiary) unless a review from a trusted source (professional journals) can be found. Unfortunately, we have not found such a review for Londonistan. Therefore, at this time, the library will not be adding Londonistan to the collection.

Very high-minded of you, Wayne, to forbear adding "potentially incendiary" stuff to the pristine shelves of the Brooklyn Public Library. But wait, what counts as "potentially incendiary" to the guardians of the public purse at The New York Public Library? We know that Londonsitan counts, never mind that the historian Daniel Johnson, writing in Commentary, said that "Anyone who cares about Britain, or indeed about the survival of Judeo-Christian civilization, should read Melanie Phillips's brave and disturbing book." But what about some of the Library's other recent acquisitions? Consider Empire by the Duke University professor Michael Hardt and the Italian terrorist Antonio Negri. Apparently that book is not "potentially incendiary," though it argues that "militancy today is a positive, constructive, and innovative activity." Or how about Al Franken's book Lies (and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them): A Fair and Balanced Look at the Right? Brooklyn readers can find that little bijou on the shelves of their public library. They can also find, to move from the political to the pornographic, Toni Bentley's paean to sodomy, The Surrender: An Erotic Memoir. That, too, is available to readers at the Brooklyn Library. (Nor does Bentley's book represent an aberration for Brooklyn's Selection Committee: readers can also edify themselves with Ron Jeremy: the long hard life of a porn star or, moving back to politics, From Oslo to Iraq and the Road Map by the late Edward W. Said, the left-wing Columbia professor PLO sympathizer.)

According to the Brooklyn Public Library's website, "Contemporary materials representing various points of view . . . including materials that reflect current conditions, trends, and controversies" are among those that the Library seeks to acquire--except, as Mr. Roylance has demonstrated, "contemporary materials" that might be regarded as "potentially incendiary" by the Left. I do not happen to live in Brooklyn. If I did, I might wonder about how my local public library chose to spend my tax dollars.


Melanie Phillips has a website, which is informational and factually discomforting.
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mjh
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Posted on Wednesday, August 2, 2006 - 11:58 am:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

So, where's the review from the trusted source? That seems to be the major point, and you haven't provided one. So big deal.
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joel dranove
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Post Number: 803
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Posted on Wednesday, August 2, 2006 - 12:49 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)

Natan Sharansky, for one, Steve Emerson, Daniel Pipes, for starters.
I read reviews posted by her on her website.
Perhaps you should read them, then question why her book is not in a library in Brooklyn.

Or, just read the following analysis of the Qana bombing mystery.


Hezbollywood? Evidence mounts that Qana collapse and deaths were staged
By Reuven Koret July 31, 2006

It was to be a perfect Hollywood ending for Hezbollah. Just as the Israeli bombing of the village of Qana in 1996 brought a premature end to Israel's Operation "Grapes of Wrath," so too a sequel of Qana II could change, once and for all, the direction of Israel's current summer blockbuster, "Change of Direction." Ten years ago, world condemnation of an errant Israeli shell that hit a civilian compound forced then-PM Shimon Peres to curtail the offensive against terror bases.

The setting was also perfect: Kana was again being used as a primary site for launching rockets against Israeli cities. The IDF reported that more than 150 rockets had been launched from Qana and its vicinity at Israeli civilians, wreaking destruction in Kiryat Shmona, Maalot, Nahariya and Haifa. It was only a matter of time before the Israeli Air Force would come for a visit, using pinpoint targeting of the sites used to launch rockets, Hezbollah logistical centers and weapon storage facilities.

On the morning of July 30, according to the IDF, the air force came in three waves. In the first, between midnight and one in the morning, there was a strike at or near the building that eventually collapsed.

Brent Sadler of CNN reports that the Israeli ordnance did not even hit the building but landed "20 or 30 meters" from the structure.

There was a second strike at other targets far from the collapse building several hours later, and a third strike at around 7:30 in the morning. There too the nearest hit was some 460 meters away, according to the IDF. But first reports of a building collapse came only around 8 am.

Thus there was an unexplained 7 to 8 hour gap between the time of the helicopter strike and the building collapse. Brigadier General Amir Eshel, Head of the Air Force Headquarters, in a press briefing, told journalists that "the attack on the structure in the Qana village took place between midnight and one in the morning. The gap between the timing of the collapse of the building and the time of the strike on it is unclear."

Gen. Eshel appeared genuinely mystified by the gap in time. He "I'm saying this very carefully, because at this time I don't have a clue as to what the explanation could be for this gap," he added.

The army's only explanation was that somehow there was unexploded Hezbollah ordnance in the building that only detonated much later.

"It could be that inside the building, things that could eventually cause an explosion were being housed, things that we could not blow up in the attack, and maybe remained there, Brigadier General Eshel said.

Eshel reported that as recently as two days ago, military intelligence reported the building area had been used by the terrorists for storage or firing of weapons. It was a bad place to cram dozens of women and children.

There are other mysteries. The roof of the building was intact. Journalist Ben Wedeman of CNN noted that there was a larger crater next to the building, but observed that the building appeared not to have collapsed as a result of the Israeli strike.

Why would the civilians who had supposedly taken shelter in the basement of the building not leave after the post-midnight attack? They just went back to sleep and had the bad luck to wait for the building to collapse in the morning?

National Public Radio's correspondent reported that residents of that building had left and the victims were non-residents who chose to shelter in the building that night. They were "too poor" to leave the down, one resident told CNN's Wedeman. Who were these people?

What we do know is that sometime after dawn a call went hour to journalists and rescue workers to come to the scene. And come they did, in droves.

While Hezbollah and its apologists have been claiming that civilians could not freely flee the scene due to Israeli destruction of bridges and roads, the journalists and rescue teams from nearby Tyre had no problem getting there.

Lebanese rescue teams did not start evacuating the building until the morning and only after the camera crews came. The absence of a real rescue effort was explained by saying that equipment was lacking. There were no scenes of live or injured people being extracted.

There was little blood, CNN's Wedeman noted: all the victims, he concluded, appeared to have died while as they were sleeping -- sleeping, apparently, through thunderous Israeli air attacks. Rescue workers equipped with cameras were removing the bodies from the same opening in the collapsed structure. Journalists were not allowed near the collapsed building.

Rescue workers filmed as they went carried the victims on the stretchers, occasionally flipping up the blankets so that cameras could show the faces and bodies of the dead.

But Israelis steeled to scenes of carnage from Palestinian suicide bombings and Hezbollah rocket attack could not help but notice that these victims did not look like our victims. Their faces were ashen gray. While medical examination clearly is called for to arrive at a definitive dating and cause of their deaths, they do not appear to have died hours before. The bodies looked like they had been dead for days.

Viewers can judge for themselves. But the accumulating evidence suggests another explanation for what happened at Kana. The scenario would be a setup in which the time between the initial Israeli bombing near the building and morning reports of its collapse would have been used to "plant" bodies killed in previous fighting -- reports in previous days indicated that nearby Tyre was used as a temporary morgue -- place them in the basement, and then engineer a "controlled demolition" to fake another Israeli attack.

The well-documented use by Palestinians of this kind of faked footage -- from the alleged shooting of Mohammed Dura in Gaza, scenes from Jenin of "dead" victims falling off gurneys and then climbing back on -- have merited the creation of a new film genre called "Palliwood."

There is increasing evidence that the Kana sequel is another episode in this genre, a variety which might be called Hezbollywood. The Hezbollah have evidently learned their craft well.

The current suspension of Israeli military air activity is supposedly intended, among other things, to be used for the investigation of what really happened at Qana. It is to be hoped that there are real journalists on the scene, and unbiased medical examiners, who will have the courage and intelligence to sort out the anomalies and contradictions, and get to the buried truth of what happened.

There is no shortage of victims in Lebanon and Israel these days. From this vantage point, at this time, it looks like in the case of Qana, the world's media was duped in a cruel and colossal hoax by a terror organization that knows no moral bounds in its exploitation of suffering and anti-Israel hatred. But, as usual, the only party expected to pay the full price will be Israelis.

Yes, it would be a Hollywood ending for it all to end in Qana, exactly as it did a decade ago. But perfect endings, and perfect crimes, are rarely pulled off in real life.

Israelis will not be able to investigate this claim directly. The question remains whether honest men and women of other nationalities will let this likely lie stand or press for the revelation of the improbable and inconvenient truth.


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