| Author |
Message |
    
mem
Citizen
Username: Mem
Post Number: 4680
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 10:38 am: |     |
I bet seven inches.
Severe Weather Alert from the National Weather Service
...ATLANTIC NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-CARBON PA-CECIL MD- CHESTER PA-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA- EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-KENT MD-KENT DE- LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ- NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ- PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM... CAMDEN... DOVER... NEW BRUNSWICK... NEWARK... PERTH AMBOY... PHILADELPHIA... READING... TRENTON... VINELAND AND WILMINGTON 450 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2005
... WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND THEN MOVE TO NEAR THE DELMARVA COAST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SNOW ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY. THE STEADY SNOWS WILL BEGIN OVER THE EASTERN MARYLAND, DELAWARE, SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND THE PHILADELPHIA AREAS AROUND THE TIME OF THE MORNING COMMUTE AND THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD. THE SNOWS WILL REACH THE POCONOS AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY BY LATE MORNING. ONCE THE SNOWS BEGIN, THEY MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES WITH REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING ACROSS MOST AREAS.
ONCE THE SYSTEM DRAWS CLOSER TO OUR REGION THE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN IN THE AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO INTERSTATE 95 COULD BE AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES IN CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. THE POCONOS AND LEHIGH VALLEY WILL HAVE SNOW AND SOME SLEET DURING MONDAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED.
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM REMAINS UNCERTAIN, SO OUR FORECAST AND OUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS MAY CHANGE AS WE DRAW CLOSER TO THE TIME OF THE EVENT. YOU ARE, HOWEVER, URGED TO PREPARE NOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOWFALL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
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ken (the other one)
Citizen
Username: Ken
Post Number: 237
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 10:45 am: | |
I bet mostly rain.... |
spw784
Supporter
Username: Spw784
Post Number: 658
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 10:51 am: | |
snow day??? |
Albatross
Citizen
Username: Albatross
Post Number: 532
Registered: 9-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 11:37 am: | |
Perhaps.
A friend of mine is a producer at a meteorology studio. From what they're getting, if nothing changes, New Jersey's getting slammed Monday night. |
Mergele
Citizen
Username: Mergele
Post Number: 258
Registered: 7-2003
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 11:48 am: | |
The weather weenies have us getting completely buried:
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showforum=15
http://p209.ezboard.com/ftristateweatherfrm7 |
ML
Supporter
Username: Ml1
Post Number: 2310
Registered: 5-2002
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 1:37 pm: | |
I always stick with the Weather Channel forecasts. Unlike the TV stations, which give you the worst case scenario for their entire viewing area -- which don't forget, extends from Orange and Rockland Counties in NY, to Sussex in NJ, all the way to Montauk -- the Weather Channel gives you a Newark Airport forecast if you look up Maplewood:
http://www.weather.com/weather/local/07040?lswe=07040&lwsa=WeatherLocalUndeclare d
They're predicting 3-5, so that's what I would expect here. |
wendy
Supporter
Username: Wendy
Post Number: 570
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 2:35 pm: | |
I always go to NOAA.gov. You plug in Maplewood, NJ (or any other town) and the forecasts seem the most accurate. I assume most commercial forecasters are getting their info from NOAA since NOAA has the instruments, including the weather satellites and balloons.
Very cool website overall too. During hurricane season it was an often visited site by me and I'm sure countless others as they tracked the predicted path and velocity of the hurricanes. |
Dave -agent of MOL
Moderator
Username: Dave
Post Number: 5399
Registered: 4-1998
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 2:38 pm: | |
I usually look out the window. It's worked well thus far.  |
Innisowen
Citizen
Username: Innisowen
Post Number: 527
Registered: 3-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 3:06 pm: | |
Imagine what would happen if we never had weather of any kind---un-weather, if you will. That would be a bore. |
Bob K
Supporter
Username: Bobk
Post Number: 7748
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 3:59 pm: | |
Even Westher.com has the prediction up to six to ten inches. 
While I agree that the TV weather people try to make a dusting sound like the storm of the century, sometimes mistakes are made.
On President's Day in 1980 or 1981 the officual forecast was for a couple of inches of snow, turning into rain as warm air moved up from the south. Unfortunately the warm air never made it this far north and we ended up with nearly 20 inches. A co-worker who lived in Basking Ridge spent something like 18 hours stuck on the train and a neighbor couldn't walk up the hill and ended up banging on someones door yelling, "gimme shelter". |
Mergele
Citizen
Username: Mergele
Post Number: 259
Registered: 7-2003
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 4:31 pm: | |
Nobody wants to cry wolf after that non-event a couple of years ago where they closed everything and we got a dusting. I've been keeping a pretty close eye on this (trying to figure out if I can legitimately call the boss tomorrow am and apologize profusely for my inability to make it into the city, then go back to bed with my hot chocolate) and with the mid-afternoon updates, everybody is increasing their forecasted accumulation. The weather weenies are having a field day as they've been salivating over 12"-18" inches or more since about Thursday... I suspect that the projected snowfall numbers are going to keep creeping up as the night goes on.
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Joan
Supporter
Username: Joancrystal
Post Number: 5052
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 4:40 pm: | |
NJT just sent an alert that they will be cross honoring bus, train, and light rail tickets and passes tomorrow. Sounds like they expect us to get more than a dusting. |
mem
Citizen
Username: Mem
Post Number: 4682
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 4:43 pm: | |
I commute on GSP North (30 miles).
Nightmare. |
Joan
Supporter
Username: Joancrystal
Post Number: 5054
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 4:53 pm: | |
Mem:
Can you work from home tomorrow or just take the day off? My son works up in Englewood. I'm trying to convince him to bed down in the office tomorrow night if the roads are too bad. |
mem
Citizen
Username: Mem
Post Number: 4685
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 5:01 pm: | |
Joan,
I have just decided, as I read your post, to work at home tomorrow. I have a scary Dr's appt first thing in the morning anyway.
Last Thurs took me 3 1/2 hrs to get home. Plus, for some reason, many drivers on the GSP are just not very good drivers - there are always accidents.
Can your son work from home? |
Just The Aunt
Supporter
Username: Auntof13
Post Number: 594
Registered: 1-2004
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 5:11 pm: | |
Mem I hope the doctor appointment doesn't give you the scary news you think you might get. Good luck tomorrow. |
Mergele
Citizen
Username: Mergele
Post Number: 260
Registered: 7-2003
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 5:31 pm: | |
Foot's forecast: http://footsforecast.blogspot.com/
...in full weather weenie mode now |
wendy
Supporter
Username: Wendy
Post Number: 571
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2005 - 6:24 pm: | |
This from NOAA (noaa.gov) for Maplewood:
Monday night. Snow. Possibly heavy at times in the evening. Additional snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches. With total accumulation of 8 to 14 inches. Brisk with lows in the mid 20s. North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Decreasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight |
CFA
Citizen
Username: Cfa
Post Number: 1314
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 4:17 am: | |
It's only going to be 74 here tomorrow  |
algebra2
Supporter
Username: Algebra2
Post Number: 3005
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 8:20 am: | |
Mem -- I am home today. The boy isn't feeling well -- he's missing a field trip! His first day home sick in over a year -- poor kid. Anyway, I'm here if you're around. |
Strings
Supporter
Username: Blue_eyes
Post Number: 409
Registered: 4-2004
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 9:40 am: | |
My district already announced an early dismissal for today - we're in Morris County. No snow yet, though. |
Just The Aunt
Supporter
Username: Auntof13
Post Number: 621
Registered: 1-2004
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 11:11 am: | |
Algebra-
I'm thinking the field trip was canceled. He picked a good day to be sick! Hope he feels better. |
algebra2
Supporter
Username: Algebra2
Post Number: 3006
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 11:20 am: | |
I spoke with his teacher this morning, they were leaving pretty early and I think they'll be back by 12:30. They went to NJPAC and I think were going back stage/on stage! I'd love it if it's been resceduled -- he loves being on stage. |
hismom
Citizen
Username: Hismom
Post Number: 213
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 11:44 am: | |
Now that M/SO decided on early closing for today, I'm betting we don't get much snow at all.
It is hard explaining to a Kindergartner why he doesn't have school (PM K) when there's no snow falling from the sky. |
mem
Citizen
Username: Mem
Post Number: 4693
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 12:04 pm: | |
Alg - thanks - I am home and working my butt off.
I may slow down later in the day...I can give you an update. |
bets
Supporter
Username: Bets
Post Number: 1003
Registered: 6-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 1:13 pm: | |
It's started here in Madison. |
Keywest
Citizen
Username: Keywest
Post Number: 23
Registered: 2-2004
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 1:20 pm: | |
MEM,
Where do you commute to? I go to Rockland County. |
mem
Citizen
Username: Mem
Post Number: 4698
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 1:35 pm: | |
I go to Rockland County as well - Chestnut Ridge... |
mem
Citizen
Username: Mem
Post Number: 4699
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 1:56 pm: | |
It's snowing. Let the games begin. |
Just The Aunt
Supporter
Username: Auntof13
Post Number: 627
Registered: 1-2004
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 5:29 pm: | |
Mem I know someone who lives in Chestnut Ridge!!! Remember whn Hismom was looking for a home for Ben and Jerry and my friend adopted them? That's where he lives! Small world. How did the doctor appointment go? |
mem
Citizen
Username: Mem
Post Number: 4700
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 5:31 pm: | |
Not very good. But it's OK. Thanks for asking. |
Just The Aunt
Supporter
Username: Auntof13
Post Number: 628
Registered: 1-2004
| | Posted on Monday, February 28, 2005 - 5:32 pm: | |
Alg- Hopefully the school did cancel the trip. Hope your little guy feels better. |
Joan
Supporter
Username: Joancrystal
Post Number: 5067
Registered: 5-2001
| | Posted on Tuesday, March 1, 2005 - 4:29 pm: | |
Mem:
Sorry the doctor's visit didn't go well. Let me know if there is anything I can do to help.
Joe doesn't have the software to work from home but he promised to stop by early this morning to help dig us out.
As it turned out the snowfall here was pretty minimal and there was hardly any accumulation at all in the city.
Algebra: I hope your son is feeling better. |
Tom Reingold
Supporter
Username: Noglider
Post Number: 5692
Registered: 1-2003
| | Posted on Tuesday, March 1, 2005 - 5:39 pm: | |
mem, for whatever it's worth, I think you won your bet. |
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